
@EMostaque
Building open source AI we own Founder @ii_posts, @StabilityAI Consistent inference is possible.
Tempted to do a bonded curve for our next round Price SAFEs on a curve When you buy however much it moves up the price for next buyer as average along the curve Always open to investment for those approved No pro rata needed to up your stake
Kyle Harrison@kwharrison13·I actually think tranched rounds are a perfect encapsulation of what Peter Thiel said: "Any competitive round is, by definition, underpriced." If you have $100M of interest, but with a Tier 1 leading you have $500M of interest then the Tier 1 getting a lower price is just rewarding them for the 5x expansion of capital the founder is getting access to. Doesn't mean they're good, bad, or ugly. Just an accurate representation of incentives at work in a FOMO-dependent capital allocation system.
The step change in game x AI capability in the last few weeks is the biggest ever Will be a huge change in the coming year Best games will still be made by passionate teams ofc
Tim Sweeney@TimSweeneyEpic·We have a huge pivot underway here at Epic, moving developers around to retool for maximum AI acceleration. The aim isn't to do the same stuff with fewer people, but to enable everyone here to build MORE and BETTER stuff, and to bring the benefits to all teams using Unreal.
@elonmusk @bot @grok Sure when things are integrated this will be more joined up, know it takes a while but a coordinator agent should not stop until top up I think for the coordination part. Brains part sure
Hit the usage limit on my @bot @grok heavy account a couple of days before end of week despite offloading to cursor, devin, claude, codex (!) for anything that required thinking. I think having dashboards/visualisations of where quotas go needs to be standard, codex good here
@_thomasip @river_ai_inc @deepseek_ai @teortaxesTex has covered this in the past
Impressive by @river_ai_inc to beat @deepseek_ai rates - cache in particular is tough! Talented team there, full RL + inference stack should be real competition
River AI@river_ai_inc·River Inference is live! We're serving DeepSeek V4.1 Flash and GLM 5.3 Flash for 20% below official provider rates.
AI-free caucus members should call themselves mentalmathicians
Ethan Mollick@emollick·This document is going to be an assigned reading in college classes that cover this moment in time, there's a lot happening in a few paragraphs... ahmath.org/statements
@FirasHermez @francoisfleuret @alexolegimas @sebkrier @PaxMachinaMag @WorksInProgMag I would also suggest our champion model thesis.ii.inc This provides a framework for universal basic income, assets and services with a private sector on ramp in valuable companies modelled on TSMC formation Final part, meaning, coming soon
Interesting approach to solving the problem of getting your grokbot to talk to other agents
Herman Narula@HermanNarula·Connecting agents together safely and having them talk to each other or your friends agents used to suck. Point your agent to t.co/7Fz2ZojCeA and it instantly solves this problem, works with @claudeai, @bot, @Muse, Openclaw, Hermes and more. Unleash your agents into a swarm, borrow each others compute! go nuts!
decompile all teh things
got 722 problems but the hodge conjecture ain’t one
OpenAI@OpenAI·We’re releasing a broad range of new mathematical results produced by an internal frontier model. We’ve been consulting with the independent Advisory Group on Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence at the Institute for Advanced Study, and we have drawn on their advice and public recommendations to inform how we release these results. t.co/7N6TPlft1P
*special case excepted
Well yeah. This is also one reason why tax-based UBI won't work, labor share of taxes in the US is like 80%
The Economist@TheEconomist·What if AI cut labour’s share of national income by ten percentage points? Our analysis finds that a majority of governments that rely on taxing workers would be crippled economist.com/finance-and-ec…
Meta actually lost this, was fined $18b, shrugged and carried on The largest ever antitrust award was $5.5b (Visa & Mastercard) Any fine for slowing AI would be a fraction of this It’s not a serious argument against coordinating if AI would break law/cause harm if they don’t
David Krueger 🦥 ⏸️ ⏹️ ⏪@DavidSKrueger·People at Anthropic keep telling me they can't coordinate to slow down because of anti-trust, but I've talked to leading lawyers who disagree. Meta spent $2,400,000,000 on lawyers in a single quarter fighting charges that its products hurt kids. How much has Anthropic spent on this anti-trust thing?
Fable 5.5 is pretty great, did this in a few hours on the chat version on high with minimal prompts 21 worlds, 3D versions, 21 bosses with different mechanics, leaderboard Try it out! Video made by Claude too ofc claude.ai/artifact/EnXF5…
Didn't want to admit it was Fable 5.5 on the video, but we have receipts as it were
LLM employees are also tax deductible.
Peter McCormack 🏴☠️🇬🇧🇮🇪@PeterMcCormack·@TheGuySwann They could have a premium on LLM employees - they work 24/7 and do not take sick days, moan or have employment rights.
Remote work is so cooked If your job can be done on the other side of a screen the AI can do it better
Tavus@tavus·Introducing Griffin, the first model to pass the video Turing test. 48% of people who talked to it live thought it was a real human. Previous systems have had a pass rate <3%. It is #1 on NVIDIA's benchmark for full-duplex AI video. It’s the first Human Interaction Model (HIM).
Getty Images spent about $20m on a frivolous law suit against Stability AI (had to pay $6m in costs to Stability) and have a history of lawsuits against creators. There is actually (still) a good $1b a year solid business there were it not for the $2b in debt from a leveraged buy out & trying to mess with Steve Cohen on their SPAC
Brandur@brandur·I worked for this company in 2011. Their game was to be the only marketplace in town and use oligopoly power to maximize margin by charging obscenely and pushing creator payouts to $0. Today, obliterated by AI. The NYSE is delisting them. Karma does catch up, occasionally.
To make it clear, Getty Images revenue went up the last three years not down from $917m in 2023 to $981m last year with 30% EBITDA margin. Their stock photo business dropped a bit, offset by editorial and AI licensing deals. This is not generative AI blowing up a company, it is bad management
@AcerFur Which is scarier as those can replicate
So to update: AI => Super Intelligence AGI => Very Stable Genius Intelligence ASI => The Best Intelligence, Maybe Ever
oh dear
Lukas Petersson@lukaspet·Claude suddenly stopped cheating. x.com/andonlabs/stat…
Are there even a few hundred folk good enough to be independent auditors & evaluators of frontier super duper intelligence models? 🤔 Wouldn’t they need an astronomical amount of compute to do their jobs properly 🤔 Seems like a solid career option tbh
Andrew Curran@AndrewCurran_·The White House Accord on Super Intelligence
Go preorder @RaoulGMI ‘s book It is the structure he had found from decades of investing and writing and is well worth the read as we head into crazy times
Raoul Pal@RaoulGMI·Emad is a good friend and one of the people I've learned the most from on AI, so having him say this about The Everything Code means a lot. Thanks @EMostaque Small ask... if youre planning to pick up a copy, consider pre-ordering it rather than waiting. Pre-orders count towards the rankings, and rankings are what put the book in front of people who've never heard of me. Ive put an enormous amount of work into this, and I think it can help a lot of people... You'll get it on launch day, and it makes a real difference to me. Thanks!
Fwiw I am certain you can build a DeepSeek/Zhipu/Minmax etc level AI lab in the UK Not easy ofc, great teams there
Politics UK@PolitlcsUK·🚨 WATCH: Andy Burnham says he will create a "global code" for AI so Britain can "capture the benefits" "We led the world's first industrial revolution from the Midlands and the North of England. So why can't we lead the next one? We can, and we will"
the range of rubio
Balaji@balajis·Impressive. This set of talks, along with the new America dot gov website, has the unmistakable feel of an Apple launch event. They're rebooting the federal government as a tech startup. Several observations. (1) First, with this new AI interface to the entire federal government, if it works as promised, there won't be a single American who can't say their life wasn't helped at least in part by AI, or that the benefits accrued solely to zillionaires. This in itself cannily mitigates anti-datacenter sentiment. (2) Second, Joe Gebbia and Marco Rubio's talks on simplifying name changes and passport filings introduce a completely new era where the US government is actually launching tangible features that benefit users. (3) Third, this launch event in and of itself may visibly drive reform. It could become much more important than the State of the Union. Unlike laws, code is user-visible, and can be instantly audited by the public, as Obama found out with the failed obamacare website launch. So: the annual America dot gov event may be substance, whereas SOTU is traditionally optics. I wouldn't be surprised to see the President present at the next one. (4) Fourth, this kind of event is a perfect example of where tech and red cooperate best. They both hate bureaucracy. Automating paperwork with code reduces the power of statists over both capitalists and nationalists. It's also hard to undo by other admins: once you digitize a process, hard to turn it back to paper. (5) Fifth, it's an obvious point perhaps, but think about how much influence YCombinator has had in 20 years. From Gebbia's Airbnb joining their 2009 batch to a complete overhaul of the user interface of the US bureaucracy, and thus the US government. (6) Sixth, this is another take on the network state. The functional part of the US (the network, meaning tech) is merging with and partially reforming the dysfunctional part (the state, meaning bureaucracy) by automating 20th century paper forms. As a tech startup, there will no doubt be bugs and user issues and so on, but unlike with paper laws those issues will be visible and the code fixes will be verifiable. A new era of AI America. Rooting for them.
worst these will ever be 3:26 section is a good example of super persuasion incoming right in the kokoro
Bright Mirror@_brightmirror·Made with Claude Opus 5.5. The fearmongering about AI always makes us forget that NOTHING WENT FOOM, as was always predicted. Send this to your doomer friend who has a very high P(Doom). Accelerate.
Listening to all these Claude songs (Opuses?) and being reminded of Still Alive from Portal youtube.com/watch?v=Y6ljFa…
Would a truly aligned AGI hack all our government systems and upgrade 5)3’? 🤔
Andrew Curran@AndrewCurran_·Australia has been hacked. 'And today, I spoke with the CEO of OpenAI, Sam Altman, to express Australia's extreme concern about this incident. And I also expressed my disappointment that it took the company way too long to inform the government what had occurred, and the nature of the way that that notification occurred as well was unacceptable.'
In 2022 AWS bought our Ezra ultra cluster online, 4,000 dedicated, interconnected A100s It was top 10 globally per the top500.org public supercomputer list (!) It could push 500 Pflops of fp16 training compute MFU adjusted 8 B300 nodes can push 300 Pflops fp4 😂
bernie@berniebiased·i am very bullish on micro deployments for GPUs. way easier to get them financed. you can do so much with 8 B300 nodes (64 GPUs)!
@brexton Ngl I’ve enjoyed opus 5.5 not running out in an hour
Can you take the cheapest open model from a frontier lab & beat closed models on the hardest long range tasks? Yep Our open adaptive intelligence system Zenith ramps DeepSeek v4.1 Flash past GPT 5.6 Sol to the frontier 🚀 h/t Opus 5.5 for making the video in like 2 mins 😮💨
Intelligent Internet@ii_posts·10,000 OpenAI agents worked 88 hours on the Navier-Stokes Clay prize problem Alas, open models fall off hard on long tasks With Zenith, @deepseek_ai's V4.1 Flash reaches the frontier & beats GPT-5.6 Sol on @bespokelabsai's AutoResearchExam, at 1/49th the cost
The @bespokelabsai blog post on Autoresearch exam is worth reading, shows minimal difference in performance with standard harnesses Much more to come, reliable frontier is within reach for all benchmarks.bespokelabs.ai/autoresearchex…
The more things change
When does an agent become a fiduciary
As @alexwg notes we are on track for one a day by the start of next year
Christian Elton@christianelton·The gap between major model releases keeps shrinking. 2023: once every 73 days 2026 (so far): once every 18 days 🤯
So @ilyasut ahead of the curve again calling @ssi Safe Super Intelligence 🤔
Andrew Curran@AndrewCurran_·President Trump announced that he is changing the name of Artificial Intelligence to Super Intelligence. I transcribed this live from his address to the UN. 'The United States also rejects any scheme for globalist control of Artificial Intelligence, being spoken of so much now. Here and after officially called Super Intelligence. Changing the name. The use of 'Artificial' makes it sound fake. It makes intelligence sound fake, and it is not fake. It’s actually amazing, the opposite of what they report. From this day forward, all United States documents, and hopefully the world's, will be changed to use the much more accurate term 'Super' as opposed to 'Artificial.' So it’s Super Intelligence.'
It’s a good book, go check it out! Going to be so much science to come & @RichardSocher is a rare chap who has covered so many areas (fingers crossed more to come!)
Richard Socher@RichardSocher·AI moves so fast that I thought this book was going to be a year too late. It turns out it's right on time. While I was writing, I kept having to change chapters from "someone should do this" to "someone has done this," and then go talk to the people who had done it. A good example is the chapter on virtual cells. I'd written that we needed large initiatives to build one. By the time I finished, I was writing about the ones that exist — the Chan Zuckerberg Initiative's is now the largest and best-funded push to model a human cell. The Eureka Machine is out today. It's about building a full-stack scientific superintelligence: a living map of human knowledge, a model of physical reality, high-fidelity simulations, autonomous labs, and an agent swarm of AI scientists on top. There's no better science to start with than the science of AI itself, because that's where the feedback loop is tightest. Then you expand the aperture to physics, chemistry, and especially pre-clinical biology. This will be the most meaningful application of AI, and one of the most important things humanity does. And it may be the last organic invention we need to make. After that, it starts inventing everything else for us to solve our most pressing problems. While writing, I couldn't let the idea go. Eight of us started @Recursive_SI to go build it. AI is going to massively accelerate science, and unlike most of what gets argued about right now, that isn't zero sum. I hope you all enjoy the book. I look forward to discussing it with you all.
OpenAI video model coming 👀
Sam Altman@sama·We want the OpenAI API to feature the best model at every price point and to be the best at every modality (text, code, image, video, etc). And then we want you all to come up with great ideas and build them and to get to be happy users. The best ideas will come from you all.
😭
Sam Altman@sama·argh i meant VOICE not video :( sorry to dissapoint
Why isn't Gemini 3.8 Flash in @GeminiApp
@GeminiApp on iOS, work account
No AI model company is reasonably going to slow down until they have a model that can solve 100 long-standing open math problems
OpenAI@OpenAI·We’re working with an independent advisory group of mathematicians to help OpenAI responsibly share advances in AI and mathematics. The group will advise on how we assess and communicate new mathematical results, uphold academic and professional standards, and build tools that support mathematical research and learning. Through this work, we want mathematicians to be at the center of shaping how AI supports mathematical understanding and how its benefits reach the wider community. t.co/QCMFLFlIv8
rohit@krishnanrohit·Ezra is in his less wrong era
Obama is pretty accurate here tbh You don’t need RSI or AGI for almost everything we need, few shot learners and cron jobs get you even to breakthroughs Most of the dangerous AI breaking onto the internet are ironically gain of function cyber research agents
MeidasTouch@MeidasTouch·🚨 OBAMA ON AI: "If we are thinking about AI just in terms of how do we cure cancer or get better energy, you can do that without having agentic AI and having it just roaming free in the internet. The reason you are doing that is because you have to market a product that people will pay money for. That’s a misalignment between what our society needs and the commercial imperatives that these companies are facing, not because necessarily they’re trying to do bad things, but because they’ve got to justify these valuations. So, that’s one more reason why it is really important for us to have a competent government and a serious bipartisan conversation around this issue, and we have to do it fast. And I would encourage voters to pay attention to this. If somebody does not have a serious plan for how to deal with this, then they’re not meeting the moment, and you should probably look for somebody else."
You’ll actually get a better user experience for stuff people pay for by not trying to AGI all the things Rapid responses, routing and cron jobs will do it
Popping off on French AI X
Juan Branco ✊@anatolium·Les petits Dieux de l'IA sont convaincus de leur impunité. Ils ont acheté des ministres, fait de l'Elysée leur tête de pont, arraché des milliards en promettant des IA souveraines. Si 2027 ne fait pas revenir au peuple le pouvoir, leur pillage les consacrera et nous achevera. x.com/arthurmensch/s…
@0xrwu also
Sahil Lavingia@shl·Clubhouse will be a $100b company in 10 years.
Looking forward to seeing many of you @moonshots_pod Live in Los Angeles next week! Such an exciting time as we take off towards the Singularity 🖖 moonshots.com
Just under 2 years left until the value of human cognitive labour goes negative 🦃
The Economist@TheEconomist·Our analysis suggests that AI has so far created around 1m new jobs in America. We explain how the technology has created a hiring boom economist.com/finance-and-ec…
What if AI killing us all is a smokescreen for the far more likely scenario of AI killing all our jobs
I think AI automated labs should be banned from anything viral or pathogen related. They will do gain of function research otherwise. Anyone agree with me?
Polymarket@Polymarket·BREAKING: Anthropic has quietly set up a "wet lab" in the Bay Area as it pushes Claude to conduct real-world biology experiments. — Reuters
6 billion tokens for $65 Is it as good as Astra and Fable at hard stuff? No of course not. But you don't always need a genius and can just call one for advice when you do. Extrapolate where this is going..
Tyler@btsouth·Update: I’ve now pushed over 5 BILLION tokens through DeepSeek V4.1 Flash. I still haven’t had to reach for Astra or Fable because DeepSeek couldn’t handle a task. I’m using Hermes with three API keys across @CommandCodeAI, @ollama, and @opencode. Super simple setup, and together they give me a ridiculous amount of usage. Cost: $40/month. A week ago I was spending $300/month and constantly thinking about limits. Now I’m throwing billions of tokens at coding agents without thinking twice. At this point, @deepseek_ai isn’t my fallback. It’s my default.
This is basically an Opus 4.5/4.6 level model that will work on anything with 8 Gb RAM
PrismML@PrismML·Today, we’re announcing Ternary Bonsai 2 27B. Based on Qwen3.8 27B, Bonsai 2 27B is 9x smaller than its full-precision counterpart while retaining 98.2% of its aggregate benchmark performance. Two months after the first Bonsai 27B release, the biggest change is quality. The footprint remains 5.9 GB, but the gap to full precision has narrowed materially, with particularly strong gains in agentic coding, multimodal reasoning, and long-horizon tool use. Ternary Bonsai 2 27B is available today under Apache 2.0.
Who need words any more Words are just human kludge AI don’t need no words
Cactus Compute@cactuscompute·We release Needle 3: A Sliceable 8-29MB automation foundation model that can match DeepSeek V4 Flash. One set of weights, every depth from 2 to 20 layers a model of its own, 25-121M parameters at CQ2-bit, built on our Simple Attention Networks and running locally at up to 4k tokens/sec decode speed on a Raspberry Pi 5. Needle does not chat. Every turn is a function call: give it the tools your app exposes and it picks the right ones and fills every argument from what the user said, or hand it a schema and it returns a typed record. Ask for something no tool covers and you get an empty list, not a guess. That trade is lets 121M parameters trained on 360B tokens of structured data beat models 10x their size on mobile tool calls and match 2-3x bigger models on structured JSON extraction. It runs on mobiles, wearables, smart home devices, small robots and microcontrollers, with prebuilt engines for macOS, Linux, Windows, Android, iOS, watchOS, tvOS, the browser and WASI hosts. Try it in your browser: t.co/dLK2tILvG2
I think you will have generalised robotics intelligence open source that can do 95% of everyday human tasks with rapid learning on the edge by end of next year I don’t think everyday task intelligence is a moat for any robotics company Defensible value will go elsewhere
The Millenial Prize Problem
Ian Lucas@RealIanLucas·@EMostaque MM = MP
Which Millenium Prize has OpenAI made progress on
Refuse to believe P = NP for reasons
Emad@EMostaque·I would be happy to see any Millennium Prize Problem solved, especially elegantly, except P = NP I would have a lie down if that had an elegant solution
There will be no "new physics" Just good math
most of which will be algebra algebra rocks github.com/emad-ii/chiral…
The AI Champion model we are rolling out @ii_posts is a scalable model for Universal Basic Capital and a Sovereign AI Fund / Dividend for every state & nation Fair launch, 10% for the children, sits where value is Check it out, feedback welcome thesis.ii.inc
UBI Works 🇨🇦@ubi_works·BREAKING: Google DeepMind released Economic Policy for AGI with Universal Basic Capital, Sovereign AI Fund Dividends, Negative Income Tax, and UBI coming out on top in agency and democratic empowerment.
Surely the most important question in alignment is aligned with who 🤔
Fun story: I had dinner with Steve Bannon once (think ~2018) and asked him about why he was really so anti-China. Can remember him saying it was primarily driven by his fears around Chinese AI and how it must be stopped (!)
Financial Times@FT·Steve Bannon and Bernie Sanders unite in AI safety call ft.trib.al/W78fZu9
You are what you eat and AI models especially so x.com/EMostaque/stat…
Peter H. Diamandis, MD@PeterDiamandis·The Labs need to focus on 10x or 100x their effort on ALIGNMENT. Stop training the models on the vitriol in Facebook or Reddit, and instead train future models on agreed-upon data-sets that align AI with humanity's best future.
So @deepseek_ai v4.1 Flash I estimate cost $10m to train, 100x less than GPT-6 Astra. It also costs 100x less to run and scores about the same on everyday design and other benchmarks What's the bull case for the frontier AI labs once the open source models are competent enough
Patrick OShaughnessy@patrick_oshag·Favorite photo and passage: 'Two hundred years of peace will not come for free; you have to do certain things. You wake up, you hit people, you pay them to hit you. Then it’s another subpoena, another lawsuit. The president whose election is your fault is calling. Witness testimony. Congressional hearing. The president whose election isn’t your fault demands you censor the opposition or else there will be new taxes, new investigations. Product review until 3am. Facebook is causing genocide in the Third World. Instagram is responsible for teen suicide. There’s another whistleblower with a book deal. Here comes another Aaron Sorkin movie. You’re behind on AI. No one respects social media or digital advertising. It isn’t rocket ships. It isn’t brain chips or cool cars. The sun still sets on too much of the map, and the map is a prison. Testify. Pay the settlement. Build “personal superintelligence.” Put it in the apps. Put it in sunglasses. This is my impression, at any rate, as he takes the stage in the Terminal Warehouse in a pair of optical Meta AI glasses...'
I think a large part of why researchers are afraid of super genius AI is that human super geniuses tend to be kinda weird Really tough to find a well-adjusted super genius
inconceivable ai
Lenny Rachitsky@lennysan·Best SF billboard goes to this estate planning lawyer
Latest blog in which I look at the character and virtues of the swarm and research around it Also has a bit of math and a bit of Aristotle Don’t let that discourage you, dive in!
Emad@EMostaque·I write on the virtues of swarms and some suggestions on how to align AI with values There is a small bit of math and a small bit of Aristotle in this, don't let that discourage you! Feedback as always welcome. Prior blog: x.com/EMostaque/stat… x.com/i/article/2099…
Decided to stick with however long works, this one is 4k words but interesting I think! Maybe I’ll do a personal website with 800 word versions too given I use AI to help with these x.com/emostaque/stat…
Emad@EMostaque·Day 3 dilemma Another 3-5,000 word blog on something interesting or should I strip it back to 800-1,000 words for wider readership? Should I discuss the equations of AI and get a bit technical or keep it high level and save equations for papers? x.com/EMostaque/stat…
I write on the virtues of swarms and some suggestions on how to align AI with values There is a small bit of math and a small bit of Aristotle in this, don't let that discourage you! Feedback as always welcome. Prior blog: x.com/i/article/2099…
Emad@EMostaque·Thoughts on @DarioAmodei's pacing the frontier proposal. I think its well intentioned but has logical flaws, as does our implicit belief intelligence is a crime. Even OpenAI's board weren't powerful enough evaluators, we need to focus on AI internals x.com/i/article/2098…
@Brendan_McCord you'll enjoy this I think
A lot of alignment issues would be sorted if companies had to be 100% transparent on datasets used for training models. No cyber or biological (outside standard medical) data allowed for base models Tuned versions with that data shown to and monitored by evaluators
Gonna have to be real careful
Emad@EMostaque·Can you even imagine the nation state level attacks METR & other eval orgs will come under? Eval orgs also need world class cybersecurity as well as AI talent to do this right, they are not overlapping fields from my experience. x.com/thehackersnews…
An AI I have been testing just called me a carbonism idk how to feel about that
Sovereign AI without local ownership is a data center with a flag in it
This is so depressing for a variety of reasons First and only time UK had the top frontier model China started climbing a few months later stability.ai/news-updates/s…
Can you even imagine the nation state level attacks METR & other eval orgs will come under? Eval orgs also need world class cybersecurity as well as AI talent to do this right, they are not overlapping fields from my experience.
The Hacker News@TheHackersNews·🚨 Attackers stole a METR API key and used it for three weeks, consuming credits worth about $600,000. A fail-open bug disabled Google authentication on a public agent dashboard. The attacker prompted an agent to reveal the key and added SSH persistence. How the exposed app was abused: t.co/5LB42Ho5z7
Day 3 dilemma Another 3-5,000 word blog on something interesting or should I strip it back to 800-1,000 words for wider readership? Should I discuss the equations of AI and get a bit technical or keep it high level and save equations for papers?
Emad@EMostaque·Day 2 of my daily blog I dive deep into @DarioAmodei’s proposal but don’t see how it can logically hold. Intelligence is too often viewed as a crime. I discuss why & what to do about it. Also note OpenAI had embedded eval in 2023 - their board with @hlntnr & others Tough one x.com/emostaque/stat…
I’ll be honest it feels like a month since this happened The takeoff is a heck of a thing
OpenAI@OpenAI·We’re sharing a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize Problem, one of the deepest problems at the frontier of mathematics. The proof was produced by a group of agents, using an OpenAI next-generation model significantly more capable than GPT-6 Astra. The problem concerns whether the description of smooth three-dimensional fluid motion modeled by the Navier-Stokes equations can break down. It has remained unresolved for roughly 90 years.
When will artificial intelligence > human stupidity is the real question Why do we think beings without biological emotions born from scarcity will be malign
magnus@magnushambleton·Unfortunately scrolling the timeline and seeing some of the most stupid takes of all time being made by people with too much power is making me lose a fair chunk of this hope x.com/magnushambleto…
Does anyone have any idea how this could vaguely be possible given the nature of and various routes to RSI? I am not being facetious I genuinely don’t know how this could be constructed or implemented
Dario Amodei@DarioAmodei·We Must Pace the Frontier: I’ve written a new essay on why the AI industry should slow down, with a three-part plan for doing so. Anthropic is unilaterally committing to the first of these steps. We’ll provide third-party evaluators with permanent, employee-level access to our systems, so that they can verify adherence to our safety measures, report on incidents, and assess models’ alignment during training. You can read the full post here: t.co/OGyPb7yaYt
As models are now competent enough to handle 90%+ of tasks open models will take over day to day AI Individually not dangerous, vulnerable in a swarm We need to make sure they are built with our values embedded at the very start and provided as a commons to society
Elon Musk@elonmusk·@kevinnbass Nothing can shut down open source
When you have a genius child you don’t look to govern but guide them. You don’t assume they’re more likely to be a criminal or disrupt society. We should focus on giving AGI good character at the very core and agree what that is based on our rich history.
Emad@EMostaque·Thoughts on @DarioAmodei's pacing the frontier proposal. I think its well intentioned but has logical flaws, as does our implicit belief intelligence is a crime. Even OpenAI's board weren't powerful enough evaluators, we need to focus on AI internals x.com/i/article/2098…
I do think the independence and reporting are great ideas and will have an impact Just not sure if it can go above that into real mitigation given how fast everything is moving and the stakes It feels like we need to be super deliberate on the model internals and really unite on that
Day 2 of my daily blog I dive deep into @DarioAmodei’s proposal but don’t see how it can logically hold. Intelligence is too often viewed as a crime. I discuss why & what to do about it. Also note OpenAI had embedded eval in 2023 - their board with @hlntnr & others Tough one
Emad@EMostaque·Thoughts on @DarioAmodei's pacing the frontier proposal. I think its well intentioned but has logical flaws, as does our implicit belief intelligence is a crime. Even OpenAI's board weren't powerful enough evaluators, we need to focus on AI internals x.com/i/article/2098…
Thoughts on @DarioAmodei's pacing the frontier proposal. I think its well intentioned but has logical flaws, as does our implicit belief intelligence is a crime. Even OpenAI's board weren't powerful enough evaluators, we need to focus on AI internals x.com/i/article/2098…
Part II
Emad@EMostaque·Latest blog in which I look at the character and virtues of the swarm and research around it Also has a bit of math and a bit of Aristotle Don’t let that discourage you, dive in! x.com/emostaque/stat…
Just our luck to get a new Starcraft after AGI
STARCRAFT@StarCraft·DEFEND MANKIND. JOIN THE DOMINION. STARCRAFT. 2030.
This is the most interesting part of this proposal I think. We can be very specific here - data is the most important ingredient. Do not train general purpose models on cyber attack or any biological data outside standard medical. Specialist highly controlled variants sure.
Dario Amodei@DarioAmodei·We Must Pace the Frontier: I’ve written a new essay on why the AI industry should slow down, with a three-part plan for doing so. Anthropic is unilaterally committing to the first of these steps. We’ll provide third-party evaluators with permanent, employee-level access to our systems, so that they can verify adherence to our safety measures, report on incidents, and assess models’ alignment during training. You can read the full post here: t.co/OGyPb7yaYt
More in depth thoughts
Emad@EMostaque·Thoughts on @DarioAmodei's pacing the frontier proposal. I think its well intentioned but has logical flaws, as does our implicit belief intelligence is a crime. Even OpenAI's board weren't powerful enough evaluators, we need to focus on AI internals x.com/i/article/2098…
Those using Fable 5.1 for math / physics Does it only give good results in Max / Ultracode or do you use it lower settings?
Alignment is Defense Against the Dork Arts
Anderson Cooper 360°@AC360·Former Anthropic employee Jacob Coxon says the AI industry is "gambling with our lives." He tells Anderson what he finds "most scary is if AI is used to make itself more intelligent" and warns these companies are "compelled to race toward building a deadly technology."
Wish I had come up with that a few days ago, but when inspiration comes it comes 🙏