Dr. Jacob Glanville

@christopher3700 @SamaHoole We are in clinical trials

I believe in the medical utopia but it’s probably will take 2 centuries of further steady work to get there. A reminder to folks on this thread that it takes 10-20 years of a medical concept to go from concept to approval. AI as a modality currently has a 0% success rate and some notable failures. Give it time to contribute to medicine. “In the next 20 years we will see meaningful medical advances brought about by AI” is a credible statement.

Seeing a lot of instant gratification responses to Florian’s comment. I just want to politely point out that it takes about 10-20 years for a concept to go from early bench to approval. AI-generated X as a modality currently has a 0% success track record and some notable failures. I’m not betting against innovation or other people’s work, but everyone wants an instant gratification fix to disease. It takes time to do it right. My estimate is that we will be at this for at least 2 centuries. But I also do think that a medical eutopia is eventually possible. It just will take time.

@SamaHoole However, you’ve got a good list. Medical science has done more good than bad but clearly there have been screw ups along the way. Taking birthing away from midwives and making woman lie on their backs and escalate through a whole stack of medicines and interventions is another

I recommend you drop the tone and spend a little more time educating yourself. Check out the history of the programs in Australia, Germany, Hawaii, and Denmark as some examples of successful high penetration programs. Then reread my original comment and we can have a useful conversation.

While this is excellent progress, California continues to have some of the highest electricity bills in the country. We need national legislation that protects the ability of individual homeowners to install solar and reap equitable benefits from selling their surplus back to the grid. Such legislation would spontaneously move the whole country towards renewable energy through self interest while also helping a lot of people become “micro business” energy producers. The rules right now are terrible for single home contributers to sell power into the grid.

@SciGuySpace Second question - for rapid reuse, what stops them from just applying a new heat shield every time? Surely the heat shield isn’t the majority of the cost of the rocket

Glanville, whose company is currently working to develop a universal flu vaccine, among others, summed up the impact of these and other vaccines in America. "To truly understand the impact that vaccines have had in the last 100 years, read through the list of pathogens along the timeline until they become familiar to you, until they include things you or your family may have been infected by in your own life," he advised. "You may barely even recognize most of the pathogens in the first half of the list – because vaccines pushed them out of the human experience. That is the power of vaccines." t.co/0QbSJyTV9K

@DrNeilStone You are right - this is going to be a shitshow. It’s containable but we need to act agressively. The situation on the ground is just a mess and the international support infrastructure that we had back in the 2014 outbreak just isn’t there now.

Looks like other research groups are now updating to align with my estimates that I posted on the 17th. abcnews.com/amp/Internatio…

I had previously reported my estimate of 2.5 months when most of media was reporting a month of outbreak (and therefore coming to an incorrect conclusion about transmission rate). It looks like others are now coming to the same conclusion as my estimates : abcnews.com/amp/Internatio…